The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the RBI met on 5 June 2026 and voted unanimously to keep the policy repo rate under the LAF unchanged at 5.25%. Consequently, the SDF stays at 5% and the MSF and Bank Rate remain at 5.50%. The committee also reaffirmed a neutral stance.
Key Developments
- Repo rate unchanged at 5.25% – signals no immediate easing or tightening.
- Inflation outlook revised upward: CPI inflation for FY 2026‑27 projected at 5.1%, 50 bps higher than earlier.
- Core inflation projected at 4.7% for the year.
- Real GDP growth for 2026‑27 trimmed to 6.6% from 6.9%.
- Risks highlighted: global supply‑chain disruptions, high energy prices, sub‑normal south‑west monsoon, and El Niño.
Important Facts
- International crude oil (Indian basket) averaged $110/barrel in Apr‑May 2026; expected to stay higher.
- Higher pump prices of petrol, diesel, LPG and raw material costs could feed into retail prices.
- Quarter‑wise growth outlook: Q1 6.6%, Q2 6.3%, Q3 6.5%, Q4 6.8%.
- Quarter‑wise CPI outlook: Q1 4.2%, Q2 5.1%, Q3 5.9%, Q4 5.4%.
UPSC Relevance
Understanding the RBI’s policy stance is crucial for GS‑3 (Economy) questions on monetary policy, inflation dynamics, an