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RBI की मौद्रिक नीति समिति ने वैश्विक उथल-पुथल के बीच रेपो दर को 5.25% पर बनाए रखा – मुद्रास्फीति और वृद्धि पर प्रभाव

5 जून 2026 को, RBI की MPC ने रेपो दर को 5.25% पर बनाए रखा और FY 2026‑27 के लिए CPI मुद्रास्फीति को 5.1% का अनुमान लगाया, जबकि वास्तविक GDP वृद्धि को 6.6% तक घटा दिया। बयान ने वैश्विक आपूर्ति‑श्रृंखला व्यवधान, उच्च तेल कीमतें, और जलवायु जोखिम (असामान्य मानसून, एल निनो) को प्रमुख नकारात्मक कारकों के रूप में उजागर किया।
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the RBI met on 5 June 2026 and voted unanimously to keep the policy repo rate under the LAF unchanged at 5.25% . Consequently, the SDF stays at 5% and the MSF and Bank Rate remain at 5.50% . The committee also reaffirmed a neutral stance. Key Developments Repo rate unchanged at 5.25% – signals no immediate easing or tightening. Inflation outlook revised upward: CPI inflation for FY 2026‑27 projected at 5.1% , 50 bps higher than earlier. Core inflation projected at 4.7% for the year. Real GDP growth for 2026‑27 trimmed to 6.6% from 6.9%. Risks highlighted: global supply‑chain disruptions, high energy prices, sub‑normal south‑west monsoon , and El Niño . Important Facts International crude oil (Indian basket) averaged $110/barrel in Apr‑May 2026; expected to stay higher. Higher pump prices of petrol, diesel, LPG and raw material costs could feed into retail prices. Quarter‑wise growth outlook: Q1 6.6%, Q2 6.3%, Q3 6.5%, Q4 6.8%. Quarter‑wise CPI outlook: Q1 4.2%, Q2 5.1%, Q3 5.9%, Q4 5.4%. UPSC Relevance Understanding the RBI’s policy stance is crucial for GS‑3 (Economy) questions on monetary policy, inflation dynamics, an
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Key Insight

RBI holds repo rate at 5.25% as inflation rises and growth outlook softens

Key Facts

  1. The RBI Monetary Policy Committee met on 5 June 2026 and kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.25%.
  2. The Standing Deposit Facility (SDF) remained at 5.00% and the Marginal Standing Facility (MSF) and Bank Rate stayed at 5.50%.
  3. CPI inflation for FY 2026‑27 was revised upward to 5.1% (core inflation 4.7%).
  4. Real GDP growth forecast for FY 2026‑27 was trimmed to 6.6% from 6.9%.
  5. International crude oil (Indian basket) averaged US$110 per barrel in Apr‑May 2026, keeping energy‑price pressure high.
  6. Key risks highlighted were global supply‑chain disruptions, high energy prices, a sub‑normal south‑west monsoon and El Niño.
  7. Quarter‑wise outlook: Q1‑Q4 CPI 4.2%, 5.1%, 5.9%, 5.4%; GDP growth 6.6%, 6.3%, 6.5%, 6.8%.

Background

The RBI’s MPC decides the policy repo rate, which influences borrowing costs, inflation and growth. Keeping the rate unchanged signals a neutral stance while the higher inflation outlook shows price pressures from global oil and climate‑related supply shocks, a core topic in GS‑3 (Monetary Policy, Inflation, Growth).

UPSC Syllabus

  • GS3 — Indian Economy - Planning, mobilization of resources, growth, development and employment
  • GS2 — Government policies and interventions for development
  • Essay — Environment and Sustainability
  • GS3 — Effects of liberalization on economy, industrial policy and growth
  • Essay — Economy, Development and Inequality

Mains Angle

In GS‑3, candidates can discuss how a neutral repo‑rate stance amid rising inflation and lower growth forecasts tests the RBI’s dual mandate and impacts fiscal and structural reforms.

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Overview

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Full Article

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the RBI met on 5 June 2026 and voted unanimously to keep the policy repo rate under the LAF unchanged at 5.25%. Consequently, the SDF stays at 5% and the MSF and Bank Rate remain at 5.50%. The committee also reaffirmed a neutral stance.

Key Developments

  • Repo rate unchanged at 5.25% – signals no immediate easing or tightening.
  • Inflation outlook revised upward: CPI inflation for FY 2026‑27 projected at 5.1%, 50 bps higher than earlier.
  • Core inflation projected at 4.7% for the year.
  • Real GDP growth for 2026‑27 trimmed to 6.6% from 6.9%.
  • Risks highlighted: global supply‑chain disruptions, high energy prices, sub‑normal south‑west monsoon, and El Niño.

Important Facts

  • International crude oil (Indian basket) averaged $110/barrel in Apr‑May 2026; expected to stay higher.
  • Higher pump prices of petrol, diesel, LPG and raw material costs could feed into retail prices.
  • Quarter‑wise growth outlook: Q1 6.6%, Q2 6.3%, Q3 6.5%, Q4 6.8%.
  • Quarter‑wise CPI outlook: Q1 4.2%, Q2 5.1%, Q3 5.9%, Q4 5.4%.

UPSC Relevance

Understanding the RBI’s policy stance is crucial for GS‑3 (Economy) questions on monetary policy, inflation dynamics, an

Read Original on hindu

RBI holds repo rate at 5.25% as inflation rises and growth outlook softens

Key Facts

  1. The RBI Monetary Policy Committee met on 5 June 2026 and kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.25%.
  2. The Standing Deposit Facility (SDF) remained at 5.00% and the Marginal Standing Facility (MSF) and Bank Rate stayed at 5.50%.
  3. CPI inflation for FY 2026‑27 was revised upward to 5.1% (core inflation 4.7%).
  4. Real GDP growth forecast for FY 2026‑27 was trimmed to 6.6% from 6.9%.
  5. International crude oil (Indian basket) averaged US$110 per barrel in Apr‑May 2026, keeping energy‑price pressure high.
  6. Key risks highlighted were global supply‑chain disruptions, high energy prices, a sub‑normal south‑west monsoon and El Niño.
  7. Quarter‑wise outlook: Q1‑Q4 CPI 4.2%, 5.1%, 5.9%, 5.4%; GDP growth 6.6%, 6.3%, 6.5%, 6.8%.

Background & Context

The RBI’s MPC decides the policy repo rate, which influences borrowing costs, inflation and growth. Keeping the rate unchanged signals a neutral stance while the higher inflation outlook shows price pressures from global oil and climate‑related supply shocks, a core topic in GS‑3 (Monetary Policy, Inflation, Growth).

UPSC Syllabus Connections

GS3•Indian Economy - Planning, mobilization of resources, growth, development and employmentGS2•Government policies and interventions for developmentEssay•Environment and SustainabilityGS3•Effects of liberalization on economy, industrial policy and growthEssay•Economy, Development and Inequality

Mains Answer Angle

In GS‑3, candidates can discuss how a neutral repo‑rate stance amid rising inflation and lower growth forecasts tests the RBI’s dual mandate and impacts fiscal and structural reforms.

Analysis

Practice Questions

GS1
Easy
Prelims MCQ

मौद्रिक नीति – रेपो रेट

1 marks
4 keywords
GS3
Medium
Mains Short Answer

महंगाई दृष्टिकोण और विकास अनुमान

10 marks
6 keywords
GS3
Hard
Mains Essay

मौद्रिक नीति, महंगाई, विकास, बाहरी झटके

25 marks
6 keywords
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